Spurs vs Grizzlies
A few weeks ago, I would have been tempted to pick the Grizz here, but I've meandered off the Memphis bandwagon. They can still keep it close, and win a game (maybe two), but the Spurs will take care of business in this first series.
San Antonio in 5
Lakers vs Hornets
This is the biggest mismatch of the western playoffs. The Hornets are missing David West and, therefore, have no secondary scorer or leader. Carl Landry can be that guy but he's not 15 ppg player--he's a 25-points-one-night-and-5-points-the-next-night kind of guy (and yes, that's my term I just made up). I'd be surprised if the Hornets won a game in this series.
LA in 4
Mavericks vs Trailblazers
These two split the regular season series and I expect a similar type of fight in the playoffs. The Trailblazers continue to overachieve despite injuries, year after year. Plus, the addition of Gerald Wallace adds another scorer and one extremely hard worker. His defense, especially, will help against Dirk, letting Aldridge focus more on scoring. The Mavericks win solely because Dirk's late game heroics will win at least two games in this series.
Dallas in 7
Thunder vs Nuggets
This will be the most fun match-up to watch in the first round. The Nuggets are leading the league in scoring since the 'Melo trade because of the depth they added. They have a lot of shooters and athletic point guards who love to run. However, since the trade, OKC beat Denver in both meetings because they play above average defense and can also beat you with speed. Durant and Westbrook will be the two best players in this series and its too difficult to win 4 games against a team like that.
OKC in 6
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