Saturday, September 11, 2010

College Football Pick'em Week Two

I know this is a little late, but our new couches were delivered a little earlier than we expected. Then, of course, I had to try them out for an hour or so, but now it's time for business.

Georgia @ South Carolina
This is the year that Stephen Garcia won't have to see the old ball coach throwing his visor and ripping out his hair..at least not yet. South Carolina should have beaten georgia last year between the hedges, but this year they get it done at home.
USC 27 Georgia 17


Michigan @ Notre Dame
Michigan showed last week how to run Rich Rodriguez's offense, but Notre Dame's defense with Manti Te'o at linebacker won't be nearly as easy. Plus, watch for Notre Dame to make plays against the Miichigan defense that UConn couldn't.
Notre Dame 31 Michigan 28


Maimi (FL) @ Ohio St
The Big Ten as a whole has struggled recently against the speed of the SEC and some of the ACC. But this team has the speed and an overwhelming advantage in the trenches. Watch for the OSU d-line to make things very difficult for Jacory Harris.
Ohio St 38 Miami (FL) 21


Florida St @ Oklahoma
If this game was decided by how these two teams played last week, Florida St would win by 40. Oklahoma will keep it close on the legs of Demarco Murray, but I'm not convinced that Landry Jones is championship quarterback; Christian Ponder is.
Florida St 35 Oklahoma 28


BYU @ Air Force
Neither of these offenses is good enough yet to dominate a game like this. So look for the defense that makes the big plays to make the difference as BYU forced no turnovers last week and Air Force only one against FCS Northwest State.
BYU 27 Air Force 20


Penn St @ Alabama
I'm very tempted to pick Penn St, just one a feeling, but I can't do it. Alabama is too good on offense and the Nittany Lions, with a true freshman quarterback, won't be bale to take advantage of the young defense of the Crimson Tide.
Alabama 31 Penn St 17


Oregon @ Tennessee
72 points last week + the return of LaMichael James - New Mexico's terrible defense.. (why am I doing math? It's Saturday...) Oregon wins, big.
Oregon 45 Tennessee 21


Stanford @ UCLA
UCLA QB Kevin Prince last week 9/26 with 2 INT's. Stanford QB Andrew Luck last week 17/23 over 300 yards, 4 TD's o INT's. All you need to know.
Stanford 31 UCLA 24


Note--For those of you (which I know includes like 0 out of 4) who were looking for my top 25 poll this week, it will be bi-weekly. So look early next week for my newly minted top 25, and enjoy your weekend of football.

Thursday, September 2, 2010

What Does BYU's Independence Mean For....?

By now everyone has heard the big news this week that BYU has made it official and will go independent in football. I, for one, never thought this would work out since the defection of Fresno State and Nevada from the WAC, because, well.. seriously? The West Coast Conference?! But I've been convinced this is absolutely the best move for the school as a whole and the football team, especially. But what does this move mean for everybody else?

What does BYU's independence mean for...

The Mountain West Conference--They have now lost the two teams that were the center of this conference geographically, financially and basically carried the MWC since it began. The addition of Boise State will ease the pain, but every sport besides football will hurt. Badly.


Utah--The recruiting battle in Utah almost changed dramatically when Utah received the invite to the Pac-10. But the promise of having every game be on national television is a huge hook for out of state recruits (see Manti Te'o) where Utah had an immense advantage, while BYU has generally won the in-state recruit battle. So, throw in BYU playing in Texas, vs Notre Dame and against Pac-10 schools every year and I see a big change coming unless Utah can really play well in its first couple years as a Pac-12 school. Everyone thinks Utah will be getting a huge load of money with a new Pac-12 deal-- not so much. The Utes minimal share (they don't get a full member share until 5 years) will pale in comparison to BYU's ESPN deal for football and basketball.


ESPN--To be honest, no much. But Dave Brown, ESPN VP of broadcasting, made it sound like they just secured the biggest cash cow in the nation, which he should do of course to advertise this deal.


BYU-TV--ESPN told BYU they could re-broadcast every BYU sporting event in their archives as many times as they want. This is huge! One reason BYU athletic leaders disliked the TV deal with the Mtn so much is that they were promised the authority to re-broadcast games, but Craig Thompson didn't deliver. Dick Harmon of the Deseret News discusses the financial benefits for BYU-TV at Harmon's Halftime. (It doesn't let me post the link.)



BYU football--A lot. Besides the whole national exposure and big financial jump, it puts BYU in a situation where they have to schedule big teams to make this a legit move, and they are good enough and talented enough to hang with Texas and beat the rest of the teams they already have scheduled in the next few years (Notre Dame--which will be much more difficult in 3-4 years, Oregon St, Boise St, and reportedly the likes of Texas Tech, Clemson and I'm sure we'll see some more Pac-12 schools on the docket pretty soon). Expect big things in th enext 5-10 years from BYU football.



Notre Dame--This puts pressure on Notre Dame, even though I don't think it's something they're worried about now. They have struggled the last couple years, and if BYU beats them the first couple match-ups and basically beats Notre Dame at their own game (independence), Notre Dame fans will be furious. They are special. Other teams are not supposed to be able be a consistent winner as an independent anymore, because they aren't Notre Dame!! But if BYU does, look out...



The Rest of College Football--If BYU succeeds as we just discussed, do similar programs try to follow in their steps? Texas was reportedly close to giving it a try earlier this summer. And what if Florida, USC and Alabama find a way to double their tv deal dollars and keep their BCS access, and their conferences can't match it? I don't see this happening, to be honest. Texas was probably just bluffing because they got less money each year than all the other big programs, but the Big 12 gave in and made special concessions. It would definitely be an interesting sequence of events though.